HUD Stats for Range Adjustments

Table Dynamics, What You Can Actually Trust

Your HUD is a probability engine, not a personality test.

In online pools, multi-tabling and rake-drag compress edges, so your preflop decisions must be clean and repeatable.

Your job is to sort opponents into categories fast, then adjust your opening, 3-bet, and defense ranges for EV.

Hierarchy of preflop HUD stats, in order:

• VPIP, who enters pots.
• PFR, who enters aggressively.
• VPIP minus PFR gap, how much limp, call, and passivity exists.
• Fold to 3Bet, who over-folds to pressure.
• 4Bet, who can protect their range.

Use sample size rules so you do not spew with fake precision from tracking software.

• VPIP/PFR, starts stabilizing around 150 to 300 hands.
• Fold to 3Bet, needs 200 plus opportunities, not just hands.
• When uncertain, default to pool baselines and play a tighter, higher Equity Realization (R) strategy.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, trust big samples, then push thin edges harder.
• The Risk, small samples create phantom leaks, you over-adjust and burn rake.
• The Counter, if their stats converge toward baseline, snap back to your default ranges.

VPIP/PFR Gap, The Range Construction Shortcut

VPIP tells you how wide they are.

PFR tells you how much of that width is aggressive.

The gap tells you if your preflop value comes from isolation and 3-betting, or from realizing equity postflop versus calls.

Use these opponent buckets.

• Tight Aggressive, small gap, for example 18 to 22 VPIP and 16 to 20 PFR.
• Loose Passive, large gap, for example 35 to 55 VPIP and 5 to 15 PFR.
• Loose Aggressive, medium gap, for example 28 to 40 VPIP and 20 to 32 PFR.
• Nit, low VPIP and low PFR, capped continuing ranges and high fold frequency.

Range implications:

• Big gap players are typically Capped when they call opens, they lack strong 3-bets and 4-bets.
• Small gap players arrive more Uncapped, they protect with strong raises and 3-bets.
• Your 3-bet strategy shifts between Linear vs. Polarized ranges based on how often they continue and how they continue.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, isolate and 3-bet passives, avoid fancy bluffs versus tight uncapped ranges.
• The Risk, you assume capped when they are slowplaying or trapping.
• The Counter, if their 4-bet and 5-bet frequencies rise, remove thin 3-bet bluffs and tighten your continues.

Fold to 3Bet, Pure EV and Minimum Defense Frequency

Fold to 3Bet is your cleanest preflop exploit stat.

If they fold too much, you print with immediate fold equity.

If they defend correctly, you must build ranges that realize equity and avoid dominated bluff candidates.

Anchor it with Minimum Defense Frequency (MDF) versus a 3-bet.

Example, you open to 2.5bb, BB 3-bets to 9bb.

Your open risks 2.5bb to win the blinds, but once 3-bet, their sizing forces you to continue at a frequency that avoids giving them auto-profit.

Practical thresholds for online pools:

• Fold to 3Bet 60% plus, over-folding, increase 3-bet volume.
• Fold to 3Bet 45% to 60%, closer to equilibrium, use balanced construction.
• Fold to 3Bet under 45%, sticky, shift toward value dense 3-bets and tighten bluffs.

Range building rules:

• Versus high folds, use more Polarized 3-bets, add strong blockers with good playability like A5s-A2s, plus value like QQ+ and AK.
• Versus low folds, use more Linear 3-bets, widen value into hands that dominate their calls, such as TT-QQ, AQs-AJs, and KQs.

Blockers/Unblockers decide which bluffs survive versus 4-bets and calls:

• Prefer Axs as 3-bet bluffs because they block AK and AA.
• Avoid dominated offsuit broadways like KJo as a 3-bet bluff versus callers, they realize poorly and get reverse implied odds.
• When you expect calls, pick suited hands with higher Equity Realization (R), such as 87s and T9s, but only in the right positions.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, attack high Fold to 3Bet with a polarized 3-bet plan, and push them below MDF.
• The Risk, you over-bluff into a player who starts defending or 4-betting, and your rake-adjusted EV collapses.
• The Counter, when they defend more, linearize, reduce bluff frequency, and increase 3-bet sizing for value.

BTN or CO vs BB, Standard Online Lines

This is where table dynamics show up fastest in tracking software.

Your exploit comes from adjusting your open frequency and your response to BB 3-bets.

Do not drift into hope poker calls, every call must have a plan for realizing equity and defending versus barrels.

Versus BB profiles using VPIP/PFR gap:

• BB high VPIP and low PFR, loose passive, defend wider IP, and 3-bet them more for value.
• BB low VPIP and moderate PFR, tighter, steal more but defend 3-bets tighter.

Open adjustments:

• When BB over-folds to steals and 3-bets poorly, open wider from BTN with hands like A9o, KTo, and QTo.
• When BB is aggressive and 3-bets often, tighten your bottom opens, keep higher R suited hands like 76s, and fold low playability offsuit trash.

Defense versus BB 3-bets:

• Versus high Fold to 3Bet BB, you can 4-bet bluff more with A5s-A4s due to Blockers/Unblockers.
• Versus sticky BB, prefer calling with suited hands that realize better, and 4-bet for value more often with QQ+ and AK.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, widen steals and punish BB over-folding, and value press versus wide passive continues.
• The Risk, opening too wide versus a strong reg pool increases 3-bet pressure and rake exposure.
• The Counter, if BB increases 3-bets, tighten opens, defend with higher R, and add a small set of blocker 4-bets.

OOP Stress Test, SB and BB Adjustments

Out of position, your edge leaks through poor Equity Realization (R).

You cannot compensate by calling wider.

Build tighter, higher quality continuing ranges, then apply pressure with better structure.

SB versus BTN open, choosing Linear vs. Polarized ranges:

• Versus BTN who over-folds to 3-bets, you can run a more Polarized 3-bet strategy, value plus blocker bluffs like A5s-A2s.
• Versus BTN who calls a lot, run a more Linear 3-bet strategy, add hands like KQs, AJs, TT-QQ.

BB versus CO open, do not defend junk because it is cheap.

• Hands like 87s can defend because they realize equity with connectivity and nut potential.
• Hands like KJo often under-realize because they are dominated and face reverse implied odds.
• Small pairs like 44 are not automatic calls, you need implied odds, weak squeezers behind, and a plan versus c-bets.

Anti hope poker rules OOP:

• Do not set-mine 44 without stacks and a weak range to win from.
• Do not flat KJo versus tight 3-bets, you get dominated and your R collapses.
• If you cannot describe your continue range and your postflop check range, you are guessing.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, tighten OOP flats, 3-bet with structure, and punish players who fold below MDF.
• The Risk, over-3-betting OOP versus strong IP players creates bloated pots with low realization.
• The Counter, if they start 4-betting, reduce bluffs, increase value density, and call more with suited hands that realize.

Scenario Box

Hero Hand, 8♠7♠ in SB.

Flop, K♣9♥4♠.

Action, BTN opens 2.5bb. You 3-bet to 9bb. BTN calls. You c-bet 33% pot.

If BTN has a high VPIP/PFR gap and low Fold to 3Bet, their preflop call range is wide and Capped.

Your 3-bet should be more Linear, and your flop sizing should prioritize realization and deny equity.

With 87s, you are a low showdown hand with backdoor equity, so you bet small often, then barrel turns that add equity or pressure their capped range.

Turn barrel candidates:

• Spades, such as 2♠, 5♠, Q♠.
• Straight cards, such as T♥, 6♣.

If BTN has high Fold to 3Bet, your preflop 3-bet can be more Polarized.

You win immediately often, and when called, you proceed with aggression guided by Blockers/Unblockers and board coverage.

Multiway and Tough Spots, HUD Based Discipline

Multiway pots are where HUD driven over-aggression spews the most.

When a passive player calls and a reg is behind, your fold equity collapses and your MDF requirements change.

In rake-heavy games, avoid thin flats and thin squeezes that rely on perfect runouts.

Preflop rules for multiway dynamics:

• If caller has a big VPIP/PFR gap, isolate with value heavy ranges, hands like AQo, KQs, JJ+.
• If caller is sticky and the opener is uncapped, avoid bluff squeezes with hands like KJo.
• Use suited blockers like A5s as selective squeeze bluffs only when opener over-folds and callers are capped.

TPP Exploit Framework

• The Exploit, in multiway, skew value and deny odds, do not rely on hope based folds.
• The Risk, you misread who is capped, then get trapped by an uncapped reg range.
• The Counter, if the pool starts trapping more, lower bluff frequency and increase your check range protection.